Italy: Updated DEF bets on growth to gradually bring debt down
GDP growth to ease to 4.7% in 2022 from 6.0% in 2021
Govt foresees no return to primary surpluses over forecast horizon
No-policy-change scenario would have yielded sharper fiscal consolidation and debt reduction
DEF update targets general govt debt-to-GDP ratio of 146.1% at end-2024 (from 153.5% at end-2021)
High energy prices and adverse epidemiological developments remain leading downside risks
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Date of publication01/10/2021
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