«Остужение» сырьевых рынков привело к выравниванию цен на уголь и природный газ в США. Если средняя цена угля для электростанций в США в мае 2024 г. составляла $2,51 за млн британских тепловых единиц, то цена природного газа на Henry Hub, крупнейшем газовом хабе США, – $2,12 за млн БТЕ, согласно данным Управления энергетической информации (EIA).
Резкий рост доступности сырья, произошедший в результате сланцевой революции, стал ключевым фактором перехода с угля на газ в электроэнергетике США в 2000-е и 2010-е гг. Добыча природного газа в США в период с 2000 по 2023 гг. увеличилась почти вдвое (c 537 млрд куб. м до 1061 млрд куб. м), а установленная мощность газовых электростанций – более чем втрое, со 162 до 543 гигаватт (ГВт), согласно данным EIA и Ember.
Установленная мощность угольных ТЭС снизилась за тот же период более чем на треть (с 334 до 207 ГВт). В результате доля угля в структуре электрогенерации снизилась с 52% в 2000 г. до 16% в 2023 г., тогда как доля газа – выросла с 16% до 42% (значения округлены).
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