💼Рынок акций РФ: стратегия на 2К24 — купи, но не сейчас
• С начала года индекс МосБиржи прибавил 7%, но до рассчитанного нами справедливого значения на конец 2024 г. (3750 пунктов) ему расти еще на 14%.
• Помочь должны и выплата дивидендов, и обмен заблокированными активами с нерезидентами, и смягчение ДКП.
• Однако на местах остались и потенциальные препятствия: геополитика, налоги, высокие ставки в рублях, отток денег на IPO и редомициляцию, навесы акций.
• Наш в очередной раз перетасованный «Модельный портфель», который за 2023 г. прибавил 70% и на 16 п. п. опередил iMOEX, сейчас сулит потенциал роста в 26% до конца этого года плюс средневзвешенную 11%-ную дивидендную доходность на 12 месяцев вперед.
• Как всегда, мы ориентируемся на оптимальное сочетание риска и потенциальной доходности и рассчитываем вновь обыграть индекс даже в случае краткосрочной коррекции рынка.
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